STL Intelligence Shaw · South / Central · 20-yr forecast
49.8Development Score
-10%Momentum
-0.9permits/yr trend
-0.6%permit CAGR
+1.5%value CAGR

Permit history 2000–2026 & projection to 2046

Solid = actual annualized permits. Dashed = 20-year linear-trend projection; shaded band = ±1 std-dev of historical residuals.

Project value history & projection ($M/yr)

Community-development read

Softening trajectory -- a gentle decline in activity; the area is cooling relative to its past.

By 2046, the trend projects roughly 125 permits/yr (range 92–157) and about $6.7M/yr in project value. Projection is a directional trend on noisy permit data, not a guarantee.