Solid = actual annualized permits. Dashed = 20-year linear-trend projection; shaded band = ±1 std-dev of historical residuals.
Declining trajectory -- permit activity has fallen and the trend points further down. Likely needs intervention/investment to reverse.
By 2046, the trend projects roughly 16 permits/yr (range 0–45) and about $3.5M/yr in project value. Projection is a directional trend on noisy permit data, not a guarantee.